The economic fallout from the tomatoe and salmonella incidents is
being felt more and more this harvest season as
sales have plummeted. Some growers aren't even bothering
to harvest, and are just letting the tomatoes rot on the vine,
and the FDA still hasn't pinpointed the original source yet.
Lisa Lochridge, spokeswoman for the Florida Fruit and
Vegetable Association, said the scare could cost hundreds of
millions of dollars. "The ripple effect is huge: It's
not just the growers but everyone on the supply chain - the
packers, the shippers, on down to food service and the retail
level." ed.z.: Pretty bad. Goes to show the fragility of
the huge JIT distribution system as well, break that complex
chain at any point, it goes down fast.
JIT delivery systems work because of modern technology- but there
were perishable goods in the marketplace before the milk run
trains, and there will be after the last mechanical transport has
rusted away.
Why do you think most cities had open air markets at one time?
Doesn't really answer the just in time question...
And you do realize some of us want tomatoes on our Whoppers no
matter what the local growing season is for them don't you?
Or not have to pay more for a greenhouse grown hydro tomato than
the whole burger in some podunk town in N. Dakota.
Then perhaps you need to create one- and be the guy selling the
tomatoes.
Greenhouse grown hydroponic tomatoes aren't very hard....and
if they sell for that much where you are, perhaps a little bit of
technical ingenuity can enable you to completely corner the
market.
Fairly easy to find housing with farm work. Here's a funny
one from me past. Was riding around touring on my bicycle, taking
a long summer vacation, stopped at a strawberry farm to get some
berries. Poor guy came out, looked beat on, sold me some berries
and we were talking, he was trying to do his whole harvest for
himself, so I offered to help him. wham, ten minutes later he and
I were cleaning out a shed to turn into instaapartment, he ran me
an extension cord for lights, dragged out a bed from his house,
etc. His wife cooked three meals a day too, stayed a few weeks
there. That was just a small farm, small acreage, tons of berries
though, he was doing well, large farms have year round action
like that, usually with at least a camper or modular house.
Everybody has a "local". Even New York, Chicago
and Los Angeles have farms just outside the metro area.
Not in season is a different issue.
Let us set the WayBack machine to the late 1800s, when the United
Fruit Company was the primary financier behind the railroad
system in Central America. They did it to haul fruit to
ports and then on to eager U.S. consumers all with 19th Century
technology.
Central and South America have been the major food sources for
the U.S. for quite some time. If you want to change
seasons, you have to go North-South.
If push comes to shove, trains run on steam or coal. Food
will be grown in Latin America and shipped by train or steamship
to the willing consumers in the U.S.
And people have
noticed that the rail systems in Central America have been
decommissioned.
That shouldn't be a problem, at least for tomatoes. Seeing as
year round hydroponically grown tomatoes can be grown in southern
England (and be commercially viable), I would think that there
shouldn't be any issues growing tomatoes year round for
somewhere as southerly as the continetal US.
Even worse, they now think that it may not have had anything
DIRECTLY to do with the tomatoes because there are new cases
popping up despite having shut down the supposed problem areas.
Now they think it's potentially other produce or potentially
a distributor with a cross contamination problem. So harvest
those tomatoes guys because mine aren't ready yet.
Even worse, they now think that it may not have had anything
DIRECTLY to do with the tomatoes because there are new cases
popping up despite having shut down the supposed problem
areas
I'm surprised the media isn't discussing (or if they are
discussing, more loudly discussing) the possibility of it being a
bioterrorist attack. I'd swear I saw an item on one of the US
Evening news programmes a couple years ago describing what a
bioterrorist attack might be like and one of the scenarios is not
that dissimilar to what's going on.
Maybe so but salmonella isn't exactly the deadliest disease
on the planet. It'd take a lot to actually kill you; you may
WANT to die but the chances of doing it are slim.
That market is filled and the demand isn't there for all the
stuff that would normally go to "fresh".
Flooding the cooked tomato market with all the surplus would
drive the prices down as to not be profitable. That is if
they could find buyers at all. Most probably have
fulfillment contract already. Yes, they aren't profitable now
but I think the choice boiled down to:
1. Hire pickers, packer and shippers; negotiate with buyers who
already have fulfillment contracts; lose money.
3. Go ahead and can the tomatoes and get some charity
organization to ship them to China, North Korea, and Africa where
the food shortage is the worst to take as a charity loss on your
taxes.
It isn't necessarily about profit. The farmers who
routinely sell fresh tomatoes may not have the connections to can
them.
If they do, the loss they would incur on the labor of picking,
packing, canning and shipping may be too great. They flat
out might not be able to afford it.
And, on a side note, North Korea can rot until they decide to sit
at the big people's table. They have the fourth largest
military in the world -- FIRST if you count reserves -- and have
enough food if it wasn't all allocated to the military,
politicians and cronies. They are a self-made, self-imposed
disaster.
In case you missed the news (I caught it on The Daily Show of all
things, it wasn't widely reported) N. Korea has actually
decided to, in face of a recent famine affecting more than a half
a million people, "sit at the big people's table"-
at least to the extent of opening up their nuclear program to
international inspectors, begining to reduce their military,
etc.
I'm hopeful, but in the mean time it makes sense to keep
these people alive.
Oh, and as to the original topic- I can't imagine any
agricultural area which grows tomatoes wouldn't also have
cannaries available to send them to, even if most go to the fresh
market. The area I grew up in had, between Norpac and
Agripac, 26 cannaries in a 25 mile radius.
I saw a blurb about them blowing up the cooling tower, which I
thought was symbolic but meaningless. Given their history,
I wanted to see some verification that they weren't going to
revert to their old ways right after they got a shipment or two
of wheat and oil.
I hope it is the beginning of their opening up and just chilling
out in general. Maybe ship them a few metric tons of weed,
some rolling papers and a containership full of Doritos...
Original topic... it may be just the labor cost is too
much. Or maybe that no one would accept the potential
salmonella-tainted tomatoes -- cooked or not. Look at the
reaction in S. Korea to U.S. beef imports.
The cooling tower IS symbolic and meaningless- that specific
plant has been in the process of being decomissioned for more
than a year.
Far more meaningful- is the releasing of documentation on their
nuclear installations to China.
On the original topic- if people are hungry enough, they'll
eat anything. And there are something close to 15 million
unemployed Americans right now- I give up some of my unemployed
time for charity, I can't imagine you couldn't just go to
any employment office/career center right now and pick up a
truckload of volunteers.
F'ing Berkeley: the price hasn't dropped an inch except
maybe at the very high end ($2-$3+ for fancy varieties -- of
which we see some real beauties). Buck a pound at the level I
buy, mostly. Sometimes spring for *a* tomato of the fancy sort.
That's why I love this site. There have been a few articles
on how far removed we have become from being able to do the
basics. One article that sticks in my mind was about baking
bread being a lost skill. Those articles inspired me to
learn how to do more of the basics, and provided an abundance of
bread during my experimental phase.
This year, we decided to have a garden and planted tomatoes. This
has proven to be an instance where curiousity has paid off, as I
have been ?lucky? enough to have baskets and baskets of great
tomatoes that I have to cook up into salsa, sauces, etc.
I'm going to miss them when the season changes and I go back
to the store.
Bread is freakin' fun. Berkeley (obligatory,
Berkeley-snobbish "pfffft" goes here) is wealthy in
bread. And there seems to be a story there that I've only
partly so far reconstructed.
So, back during the Viet Nam war, S hit fan in Berkeley. You
might have heard about that. Mario Savio and all that. Funny
pictures can be found of the national guard (thanks gov Reagan)
lining our main street, locked and loaded. Not quite Kent State
but also not quite not -- a little darker and more subtle in some
ways. And, hey, from that period comes "People's
Park" -- a square city block of (according to some, disputed
by the putative owners) unowned, common land --
"People's" indeed -- the entire extent of territory
claimed by the revolution.
Well, anyway, during that time there were two things going on.
There was the Liberal (in a classical sense) revolution: free
love, drugs, all that. And there was the politics. Really, the
C.P. thought for a time they had a serious strong-hold. And, in
this town, from way back, there's the very very wealthy and
the... er... not so much. And the very very wealthy are
traditionally Liberal, in that classical sense -- and so they had
a lot of sympathy for the hippies even while they weren't so
enthusiastic about the communists.
What's a Liberal to do? Lead by example, of course. Whence we
get what is today called "Gourmet Ghetto", at least
that's my take on it. Namely, some youth favored by the
elites chose the craft / zen path and got amply rewarded --
whence we get Chez Pannise, Goines, Peete's Coffee (and
it's spin-off, Starbuck's), and much else not limited to
but including....
I was starting off to talk about bread. Well, there's the
"Cheese Board Collective" and a collective is, indeed,
what it is though I'm given to understand that in recent
years they've upped the number of employees (as opposed to
members). And, what's that? Well, a cheese importer for one
thing, sure -- but also a baker. And bread to die for. And
that's where the bread story is.
There's a guy. I guess I won't mention his name but his
first initial is Eric. Anyway, by rumor, he started it all. The
starter, that is. You see, here in (cough cough) the Ess Eff bay
area we don't go for any of that commercial yeast stuff, no
sir. Sourdough (which doesn't have to be sour -- just means a
cultivated formerly feral yeast) all the way. So many little
craft bakeries all from Eric's little first
"starter."
Now, the craft bakeries have some serious advantages over the
ambitious amateur. They get tastier flour. They have that damn
starter. And yet, even the home-cook,
constrained-to-shop-at-the-grocery-store bread maker can learn a
trick or two.
Two things to learn, per my suggestion: (a) Mild fermentation --
let your sponge go over 24+ hours -- especially for pizza dough;
(b) Water doughs -- 50%+ water by weight -- NO KNEEDING just a
few folds -- very long rising time (the outgassing of the yeast
develops the gluten as the bubbles stretch the dough). Either
case or both combined there's the third of the two things:
high temperatures. For pizza you can't much beat a 900 degree
oven (nor can the average person produce one at home). For water
doughs, a hellishly high, home-obtainable oven temperature is
essential.
Goes good with tomatoes.
(No, the above isn't intended to parse easily but
locals might get a chuckle.)
Growing up being told every few weeks in school you were gonna
get nuked and going through the duck and cover (cringe and giggle
at the same time) under the desks action sort of fed my
generation on some doomer stuff. Then the sci fi guys ahold of it
and we had a slew of end of the world doomsday scenarios and what
life might be like. Fast forward through blizzards, icestorms,
poverty, hurricanes, riots, grid collapses, environmental
disasters, high stakes global geopolitics even being worse now
than before, the universal rise of the big brother state in all
nations (no exceptions, just matters of degree at any point) and
so on, add in the y2k worries which gave us our second wakeup
call on tech scarcity threats after the first one which was the
opec embargo, you get to today, with peak oil, climate change,
peak this, peak that, food shortages, exploding governments and
popping bubbles all over and nervous sweating bankers with
generic currency collapses/rapid inflation because they are all
based on hot air and wishful thinking, which bring it all back to
cheap energy and how our modern way of life which is so dependent
on it, and if that goes..which it looks like it is... knowing
about how they did things way way back is sure looking like a
good viable backup plan B. And that's why we here
"evacuated in advance of all the emergencies" back out
to the countryside, it just helps mitigate immediately a lot of
the potential and looking more like probable threat scenarios we
are seeing.
The 20th century gave us technological man in spades, but it was
because of a big enough to have a lot of shared knowledge but
still low enough population with still abundant natural resources
easy to get at, cheap energy, and until the extreme last part of
the century, zero environmental worries or concerns of any
lasting note. All that has changed, all of it, the old ways we
used for the past century won't work like they did then for
us now, we-society we- are older and more knowledgeable humans,
so it pays to learn from the past and to develop your work
arounds in advance of needing them, when it is still possible and
at least semi affordable. And sad to say though, it appears a lot
of people just can't grok (or really don't want to
because it immediately looks scary) how looking at the past and
the present will help you extrapolate the future. It *changes* so
the best you can do is really run the odds with your societal
changes modeling thoughts in a sober fashion, erring on the
caution side for security, and go from there.
My best guess is if we as humans want to maintain a late 20-th
century styled life for everyone, all six billion and growing, we
will have to take some from the 17th through the theoretical 22nd
century to pull it off. The biggest thing right off the bat is to
throw away the 20th century culture aspects of waste and abuse
that became common just from wanting to get fast results.
that's the most important, all these ways of doing business
are based on cheap energy, cheap environmental costs and are
based on the demand for this quarters profits AND ever continuing
growth for EVERY corporation out there. that's crazy and has
been obviously crazy! Its nutz! That just ain't gonna happen,
them guys are looney tunes out to lunch if they think they can do
it. Dang if I can understand why so many people think it is
possible to keep pouring six economic gallons from a five gallon
bucket and just keep firing and rehiring new bucket pourers to
keep trying that business model. It is never going to work, it is
collapsing in front of our eyesa right now, but they keep trying,
which means they are clinically insane. And these are our largest
leaders and businessmen, and that is the fairy tale they keep
selling to us. There is no theoretical economic bucket pouring
technique that can be developed to solve that problem, I
don't care how many "quants" they throw at it or
what they call it. You only have as much as is there, the only
way you can get six gallons is to adjust what you call a gallon,
and that is the best them guys can do now, just keep calling it
six gallons and hope the dumb clucks don't notice.
I know I've said this previously but I'll repeat it, we
folks alive today are living in the last of the good old days, we
will most likely go through a century of dwindling stuff and
maybe a lot of serious bad news until such a time as we get cheap
replicator tech up and running good and really harness the Sun.
Man made in a sealed case blinkenlights mr fusion is still way
too far away, we need to use practical fusion power, solar power
basically. Some say nuke fission, I just can't agree,
although it looks good and sounds tempting, there is just too
much potential for abuse, and the more we use it the higher the
odds become. The more of that built, the more of the used stuff
from there is available, leading to eventually nutcases getting
their hands on lots of that stuff and starting huge wars after
they set off a few small ones, because they will spiral out of
control if that starts happening with fission-stuff. That is
exactly what will happen too, I have zero doubt.
That and we really need to rethink massive genetic engineering
until humans psychology gets more mature, we need to grow up more
as a species, that tech has the potential to be far worse than
even abuse of uranium. Go real slow and carefully with those two
techs, too fast, we'll screw up bad, we couldn't even
handle relatively simple chemistry advances, we have half
polluted the planet already. That's my best guess. I mean, we
are already looking at a HUGE threat in the mideast over who gets
to use nuclear tech or not, we very easily could see a big war
over it now, like this year some time,so think if it was 90 more
nations all getting into it, ain't enough
"inspectors" on the planet to deal with it. And I also
have to say I have serious worries over man made bad biocooties,
real bad feelings, it is becoming way to easy to mix and match
parts to make ..whatevers...and then there's the ultimate,
something we doomers whisper about..the idea that the big
controllers have figured all of this out as well, came to the
same exact conclusions, so they are going to use the "great
cull" theory as the simplest easiest and fastest solution
*for them*.
If we can beat this century I think humans will make it, but I
have serious doubts at this time just looking at today's
reality. I still see a lot of hope and things are OK now, just
can see the dangers that are readily apparent and I am not seeing
much in the way of leadership out there, we have a reactionary
society, it needs to be proactive, but it has barely begun to
change in that direction, and it is still slow, real dang slow,
because it is interfering with that 20th century fast buck
mindset and business climate. those people are just going to have
to come to grips that everyone can't get rich with few people
working. the cat is out of the bag with that exploitation deal,
people will only put up with it for so long, we have electronic
communications now so even the poorest slobovich over yonder will
find out he is getting shafted and just demand more, and we just
slap don't have enough stuff for everyone to keep having more
at this time.
I realize that irradiated foods make some people needlessly
eorried, but they certainly don't give you food poisoning.
Meanwhile, I can understand growers being bitter towards the FDA.
After many weeks with the news screaming "TOMATOES WILL KILL
YOU!", the FDA isn't really sure which tomatoes, if any,
are a problem. It might be something else entirely that has no
warning messages at all. Especially considering that even if only
1 in 100 cases are reported, the total number is not even
significant compared to the number of people who have consumed
tomatoes without harm. No deaths at all have been reported. The
same cannot be said for the number of deaths that have happened
on the way to or from the store to buy tomatoes.
This from the same FDA that routinely approves drugs for
non-fatal conditions that carry a documented mortality rate, in
spite of safer (and now generic) older drugs that are very nearly
as effective.
At the same time, I do wonder, if demand HAS dropped off so much
why aren't tomatoes on sale? Since tyhe FDA has clearly
stated that the ones sold with part of the vine still attached
are OK, why not harvest them that way (I realize that's not
an option for all farmers given different equipment)?
Other pecautions might include ordering packagers to batch
tomatoes by origin as much as possable, even add tracking tags to
packages. That would make matters a lot simpler when someone does
get sick.
Tomatoe Tribulations
The economic fallout from the tomatoe and salmonella incidents is being felt more and more this harvest season as sales have plummeted. Some growers aren't even bothering to harvest, and are just letting the tomatoes rot on the vine, and the FDA still hasn't pinpointed the original source yet.
Lisa Lochridge, spokeswoman for the Florida Fruit and Vegetable Association, said the scare could cost hundreds of millions of dollars. "The ripple effect is huge: It's not just the growers but everyone on the supply chain - the packers, the shippers, on down to food service and the retail level." ed.z.: Pretty bad. Goes to show the fragility of the huge JIT distribution system as well, break that complex chain at any point, it goes down fast.